Expert Thanksgiving Day NFL Betting Tips

Well Its here! A tradition like no other. Waking up to the smell of freedom, possibly a little Mighty Joe Young or March of the Wooden Soldiers, being surrounded by family and friends and possibly shaking off the rust to play in your annual “Turkey Bowl” football game. Than its off for cocktails and eventually the dinner table to strap on the feed bag. But lets not forget about another Thanksgiving tradition that for many of us equals the pumpkin pie at the end of the meal. Thanksgiving for many of us just would not be the same without making your NFL football picks. This year as usual there are the two traditional home teams where the Detroit Lions are hosting the Minnesota Vikings in the early game at 12:30e and the Dallas Cowboys are hosting the Washington Redskins at 4:30e. And this years third game will be the Indianapolis Colts hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers in the late game at 8:30e. The schedule makers didn't screw it up because these are sure to be huge games for all involved with major playoff implications.

So it should be no surprise that this is a week that offshore casinos and Las Vegas sports books traditionally report a substantial uptick in betting NFL and increased profits for the house. This makes cense considering the average joe out there is starting his week earlier than usual and most likely betting several NFL football picks. Also a certainty is that many of you will be betting larger amounts than normal just because its thanksgiving and betting these games is a tradition not unlike digging out your cleats and knee pads for that annual turkey bowl. Its a phenomenon not unlike these $100 bettors walking up to the window to bet a dime or two on the Superbowl for no other reason than its “the big day”. It might not matter that to a sharp well informed player the game might be total crap and your odds of winning are 50%. And for many that lose early it leads to a horrible weekend of chasing your losses and possibly getting buried.

Amateurs should heed this advice. Just because its happens to be “a big day” or “the big game” this does not mean that you have to make it your biggest wager of the season or the week or even the day. Most often these contests should be played for small dollars or recreationally and for no more than your average wager, and in most cases less than your average wager. The point is that on the board there are many higher percentage plays that your hard earned money would be much better served on. This is assuming that you do work for your money and you actually want to be on the best football picks possible. And if there is alcohol involved this sometimes means the possibility of making some very bad decisions to say the least. Especially if you lose the first couple and your inebriated for the late game, who knows what you will do but the chances of getting crushed have just increased big league.

We’re not saying that you shouldn’t wager on Thanksgiving Day because we all know that the action is exciting and all the match-ups usually good if not relevant and after all it is “tradition”. What we are saying is that you should not be making your largest wagers when you should actually be making your smallest, and visa versa. The point spreads on these games are usually very tight and barring turnovers these games are usually very close to the spread on both the game and total, so close sometimes that one might scratch his head and think to himself how the heck do the line makers do it! So in essence your betting on a coin toss compared to some of the stronger plays you can be on if you were just patient enough to wait until the weekend when you could find a loose lines and be on the 30 point blowout for a nickel or dime. Instead you find yourself down $550 or $1100 going into the weekend and betting scared and chasing. Don’t let this be you! Now be sure to at least think about our advice when you call in your bets this Thanksgiving. And please make sure you don’t forget to stretch real good before that “TurkeyBowl”. After all all the money in the world doesn’t mean anything if you have a broken back!

Heres to good food, family, friends and collecting at weeks end! Happy Thanksgiving to all, and to all winning picks.